It's the
Revolution, Baby: Why to Invest in Biotechnology
The golden age of biotech is before us.
Recent advances in genetics fuel products that will create more value in
the 21st century than the Internet. Learning about biotechnology will not
only benefit us as investors, it will help us understand a revolution
affecting our daily lives.
|
|
|
|
|
By David Gardner
and the Rule Breaker Portfolio Team
"Wherever
there is revolution, there will my investing dollars be." -- David
Gardner, co-founder of The Motley Fool
As we begin the 21st
century, literally hundreds of new biotech projects begun in the last
decade are poised to power into the marketplace. This explosion will fuel
opportunities for investors and employees alike, and we will all benefit
from the products. As Craig Taylor of Alloy Ventures says so succinctly,
"Soon everyone will be communicating all the time, anywhere, with
beautiful color monitors, but parts of their bodies will need
fixing."
The biotech century If you're here, chances are
you don't need convincing about biotechnology's place in our world. You
are soaking up all you can on the subject. You have an insatiable
intellectual curiosity anyway. You probably love to read and have a copy
of Genome:
The Autobiography of a Species in 23 Chapters, by Matt Ridley in one
hand and other hand on your mouse clicking through our Biotechnology discussion
board. You are looking to gain all this knowledge to benefit you as an
investor and as a member of society.
Because you better believe
we're all going to be increasingly involved with biotechnology -- in our
headlines, our lives, and the questions we ask and answers we give for
many years to come.
Mark my words: biotechnology will
create more value in the 21st century than the Internet will, and I say
that as a big Internet fan. The same buzz that we hear about "Internet
stocks" has already transferred itself over to "biotechnology stocks" (as
it did briefly in the early '90s when the world first realized this was a
viable technology, despite a lack of profits or evident results at the
time).
We love biotechnology. We are amazed by our species'
increasing ability to understand, and in some critical and exciting ways,
reengineer the world in which we live. It puts us in mind again of one of
our 10 favorite quotes from the Bard, holding as it does so much optimism
-- and so much applicability in our own age, a Renaissance of a new sort,
but every bit as exciting as what happened in Europe 400 years
ago:
What a piece of work is a man! how noble in reason! how
infinite in faculty! in form and moving how express and admirable! in
action how like an angel! in apprehension how like a god! the beauty of
the world! the paragon of animals!
This classic humanistic
expression reminds us not only that we are a piece of work, but that as
pieces of work we can actually be reworked. Ask the sufferers of cystic
fibrosis who should, not before too long, have a treatment that replaces
the single faulty gene responsible for the condition with a healthy gene.
Bang-o. That's just one small example of what can be accomplished through
genetic engineering.
What is biotech, anyway? Good
question. Here's what it means to us: Biotechnology is the application of
biology for human ends. This is a broad-brush, encompassing definition
obtained from the excellent primer Improving
Nature?: The Science and Ethics of Genetic Engineering by Michael
Reiss and Roger Straughan. It speaks of the use of our understanding of
genetics to rework the world in diverse ways that are deemed more
satisfying to us, as stewards.
The various examples of
biotechnology run the gamut. From the crossbreeding of plant and animal
species by farmers to obtain living beings that otherwise would not have
existed (blue roses and bulldogs, for example) to the stimulation of
white-blood-cell growth in chemotherapy patients (Neupogen, Amgen's
billion-dollar bioengineered protein).
Looked at in this simple,
rational conception, biotechnology is not something cooked up in a
test-tube by a mad scientist eager to create a man-eating frog the size of
an elephant. (OK, we should watch our backs, because something like this
may eventually be possible, of course.) No, biotechnology is just a very
powerful technology that -- like any other -- must be used responsibly and
constructively to beneficial ends.
Repeat: Biotechnology is not an
industry. It is a technology. There is no "biotechnology industry," per se
-- just as there is no "Internet industry." There are many, many companies
that use biotechnology or the Internet in order to profit, providing
products or services that customers find attractive and valuable. But just
try to identify a single "top dog" Internet or biotechnology company. It's
not really possible. Again, these are technologies that different
companies adopt in order to gain a lead in one industry or
another.
Fascinating, passionate discussion and debate surround
these ideas, phrases, and words. We at the Fool in our daily stories
(available on the Biotech sector
page) look forward to discussing many thoughts and considerations of
the issues at stake here. With the Internet and the emerging technology of
wireless, biotech makes up one of the three most interesting,
world-shaping, outrageous technologies of our time.
Period.
We live in the beginning of the genomics
era We live at the end of the B.U.G. era, which is one way to view
the calendar of human history. B.U.G. years are the years "Before
Understanding Genetics" -- human genetics, that is -- which has been one
consistent historical era since our planet was formed 4.5 billion years
ago. The entire history of Planet Earth has been purely "buggy."
But two key developments have propelled us to the climax of the
B.U.G. era. The first is Gregor Mendel's discovery of genetics, which
began in the 1850s in Moravia as he crossed varieties of the garden pea in
his small monastery garden. The eventual results of this first key
development are evident today. After many further advances and efforts, we
are now able to manufacture human proteins and clone animals.
The
second development is the huge gains in computing power achieved over the
past 30 years. It is symbolized perhaps by the laptops upon which this
article was created. A little Pentium laptop holds many times the
computing power of machines that just one generation ago looked like huge
vacuum cleaners and occupied whole rooms. (And you ain't seen nothin' yet
-- referring to advances in computing power, that is, not this
article!)
Either of these developments on its own provides
outstanding rewards in efficiency, productivity, understanding -- and the
profits netted by those who dreamed them up. But put both of them
together -- genetic studies with computing power -- and you arrive at the
inevitable result: a total understanding of the genetic map.
And
the same four nitrogenous bases that run through human DNA -- adenine (A),
cytosine (C), guanine (G), and thymine (T) -- run through plants, animals,
and all living things. We are working toward a total genetic map --
a total understanding of where every gene sits in every creature, and what
each one means.
We are still a long way away from a total genetic
map of everything. But there are major developments in the genetic map of
one particular species that has always held our imagination and interest:
our own. In June 2000, both Celera Genomics (Nasdaq: CRA)
and the government-funded Human Genome Project announced that they had
mapped human DNA, the human "genome." ("Genome" simply means the total
genetic material of a species.) And this is just the start, with other
animals and plants to follow.
This genetic information is on track
to be the cornerstone for most future drug research and development. The
opportunity to identify and replace one or more genes to cure a disease
(not just for the afflicted but for all their future offspring) should in
most cases be far more effective than the existing paradigm: hoping to
discover a cure or balm from chemicals or organic substances drawn from
nature.
The implications are staggering.
Think about it in
the terms used by Tom Headrick, from our Fool community. Tom asks: "How
much does it cost to bring a drug to market using today's current methods?
How much of that cost will be eroded by having this genetic/biological
material available in the database as a springboard launching a new drug
or therapy for drug companies?" He closes by pointing out, "That's why
they are [working with Celera]," and we would add any number of other
companies in this area: Incyte Genomics (Nasdaq: INCY),
Human Genome Sciences (Nasdaq: HGSI),
and Gene Logic (Nasdaq: GLGC).
Other companies have undertaken genomic research and isolated gene
sequences from the human genome. These companies, including Millennium
Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: MLNM),
Myriad Genetics (Nasdaq:
MYGN), Genset (Nasdaq:
GENXY), and others, are commercializing their findings, meaning
they're selling them to biopharmaceutical and healthcare concerns -- all
the big drug company names you already know.
Where
to? Start with the Biotechnology sector
page, where we've pulled together useful stuff from the Fool and
elsewhere. Head over to the discussion board for biotechnology,
and for any of the stocks whose names are mentioned, including Celera, Human Genome
Sciences, and Millennium
Pharmaceuticals. You can bet that for everything I say, there is
someone in our Foolish community who knows more -- much more -- and who is
willing to share it to learn together. They will lead you to more
resources.
If you're brand spanking new to biotech, I recommend Biotech
Investing Do's and Don'ts.
And hold on to your genes, because
it's the beginning of the revolution, baby!
Fool
on!
|